FC Augsburg vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
9º
15º
12º
10
12º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
93.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 62 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 55 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 50 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 47 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 38 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 78.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
AUG
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
AUG
7 - 0
ING
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 0
HOF
31%
24%
46%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 1
AUG
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
AUG
3 - 0
S04
57%
22%
22%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
STU
2 - 0
RTV
73%
16%
10%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
RTV
2 - 0
BOS
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RTV
1 - 1
LEV
9%
16%
75%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
EIN
7 - 2
RTV
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
RTV
0 - 5
BYM
4%
8%
88%
|
83 | 99 | 16 | 0 |