FC Augsburg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
WUR
0 - 3
AUG
33%
25%
43%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
AUG
2 - 0
ING
32%
25%
44%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
FEU
1 - 3
AUG
27%
26%
48%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
AUG
4 - 0
BAY
61%
21%
17%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
FCF
1 - 3
AUG
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
BAY
1 - 2
UNT
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
SCS
2 - 0
BAY
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
BAY
4 - 0
MEM
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
ISM
1 - 1
BAY
53%
23%
25%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
BAY
2 - 6
NUR
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -2 |