FC Augsburg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
SAA
3 - 3
AUG
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
AUG
2 - 4
SGF
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
HOM
5 - 0
AUG
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
AUG
2 - 1
OFC
26%
23%
51%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
WWO
6 - 0
AUG
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
BAY
1 - 0
WAL
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
BAY
1 - 1
KSC
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
SAA
2 - 4
BAY
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
BAY
2 - 1
SGF
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
HOM
2 - 1
BAY
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |