FC Augsburg vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
71.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
AUG
2 - 1
BAY
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
AUG
3 - 0
SGF
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
WAT
0 - 0
AUG
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1983 |
AUG
2 - 1
DAR
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
HAN
1 - 1
AUG
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
BYM
4 - 0
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
BYM
10 - 0
ANO
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
RTV
3 - 1
BYM
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
BYM
6 - 0
WAL
75%
16%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
ANO
0 - 1
BYM
23%
23%
55%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |