Atlas Guadalajara vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ATS
2 - 1
CAZ
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
UDG
1 - 2
ATS
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
VER
1 - 1
ATS
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ATS
1 - 1
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
ATS
1 - 0
ZAC
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TIG
1 - 0
UDG
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
UDG
1 - 2
ATS
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UDG
0 - 0
AME
18%
26%
56%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 0
UDG
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
TIJ
1 - 1
UDG
64%
23%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |