Atlas Guadalajara vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAZ
2 - 0
ATS
63%
23%
15%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
ATS
0 - 1
TIJ
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
CAÑ
3 - 2
ATS
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
TIG
3 - 1
ATS
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
ATS
1 - 0
CAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TOL
3 - 2
NEC
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
VER
2 - 3
TOL
18%
25%
57%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 0
TIJ
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
JUA
2 - 2
TOL
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |