Atlas Guadalajara vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
TIG
4 - 1
ATS
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ATS
0 - 1
QRO
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 1
ATS
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
ATS
3 - 1
PAC
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
JAG
1 - 1
ATS
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
TIG
1 - 0
TOL
41%
26%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
TOL
6 - 0
AME
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
MON
0 - 0
TOL
38%
26%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 1
EST
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
VER
2 - 3
TOL
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |