Atlas Guadalajara vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PUM
1 - 1
ATS
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ATS
1 - 1
MOR
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 2
ATS
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PAC
0 - 1
ATS
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ATS
1 - 2
AME
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 2
CAÑ
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
LOB
1 - 1
TOR
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 2
ATS
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
ALT
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 2
TOR
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |