Noah vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
10º
9º
36
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AVA
3 - 0
NOA
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NOA
2 - 1
ARA
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PYU
2 - 0
NOA
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
NOA
0 - 2
BAN
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
BKM
0 - 1
NOA
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 1
PYU
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 0
VAN
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 0
SHI
45%
27%
27%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 0
SHI
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 2
SHI
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |