Noah vs Lernayin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
10º
9º
22
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NOA
3 - 4
ALA
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
NOA
1 - 1
BAN
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 0
NOA
29%
28%
43%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
NOA
3 - 3
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 1
NOA
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
LER
0 - 1
VAN
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
LER
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LER
1 - 1
BAN
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
LER
4 - 1
GAN
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
GAN
0 - 2
LER
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |