Noah vs FC Van analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
10º
9º
40
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 2
NOA
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NOA
2 - 1
AVA
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
NOA
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
NOA
1 - 3
PYU
29%
27%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
NOA
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Van
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 1
ALA
27%
27%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
VAN
3 - 0
SHI
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
AVA
4 - 1
VAN
65%
21%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
VAN
3 - 1
ARA
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PYU
4 - 0
VAN
64%
23%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |