Noah vs BKMA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
10º
9º
32
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
LER
0 - 2
NOA
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 0
NOA
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 1
NOA
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
NOA
3 - 3
SHI
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AVA
3 - 0
NOA
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
BKMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
BKM
5 - 1
VAN
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 1
BKM
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 1
BKM
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BKM
0 - 1
ARA
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PYU
3 - 0
BKM
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |