Noah vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
10º
9º
37
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PYU
2 - 0
NOA
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
NOA
0 - 2
BAN
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
BKM
0 - 1
NOA
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
SHI
2 - 0
NOA
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NOA
2 - 0
LER
39%
26%
34%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 3
VAN
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 2
SHI
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 3
AVA
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
BKM
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
ARA
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |