Noah vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 1
NOA
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
NOA
3 - 1
FCY
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
NOA
2 - 1
GAN
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NOA
1 - 2
ALA
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PYU
1 - 2
NOA
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ARA
4 - 2
PYU
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SHI
2 - 1
ARA
49%
28%
24%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
FCY
1 - 3
ARA
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BAN
1 - 0
ARA
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FCL
1 - 4
ARA
68%
21%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +2 |