Noah vs Alashkert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
10º
9º
66
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2022 |
NOA
1 - 1
BAN
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 0
NOA
29%
28%
43%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
NOA
3 - 3
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 1
NOA
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
PYU
2 - 1
NOA
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alashkert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
4 - 1
ALA
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 0
HAM
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
PYU
38%
28%
35%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
BKM
0 - 3
ALA
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
ALA
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |