FC Arlesheim 1933 vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
66.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
LOC
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 2
BEL
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
WIL
4 - 1
CHI
53%
25%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
WOH
0 - 1
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
WIN
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |