Arlanda vs Franke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
3º
1º
33
3º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 41 |
3º
|
76% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 36 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 35 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
40% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 26 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
GUT
2 - 0
FCA
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
4 - 1
ENK
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
KUN
2 - 3
FCA
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
4 - 4
FOF
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
OST
0 - 2
FCA
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Franke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
OST
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FOF
0 - 4
FRA
65%
18%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FCJ
1 - 2
FRA
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 1
SAN
40%
21%
39%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
FRA
0 - 2
TAB
17%
19%
64%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |