Arlanda vs Farsta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
3º
1º
31
5º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 41 |
3º
|
76% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 36 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 35 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
40% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 26 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
OST
0 - 2
FCA
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
ENS
1 - 0
FCA
35%
23%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 0
FCJ
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +3 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 4
FCA
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCA
5 - 2
DAL
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +3 |
Matches
Farsta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
KUN
1 - 1
FOF
33%
22%
44%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
FOF
1 - 2
OST
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCJ
3 - 1
FOF
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FOF
2 - 2
SAN
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
DAL
2 - 4
FOF
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +2 |