FC Ararat Moscow vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Ararat Moscow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 1
BAL
28%
23%
49%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
ENE
1 - 2
FCA
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 0
KHI
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
FCA
1 - 0
SAT
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
SAT
1 - 2
FCA
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
KHI
1 - 2
ZEN
42%
23%
36%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
ZEN
0 - 5
KAL
32%
29%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
ROT
3 - 0
ZEN
13%
18%
69%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
ZEN
1 - 2
STR
62%
23%
15%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
SOK
2 - 0
ZEN
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |