FC Ameri vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Ameri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
FCA
2 - 0
DTB
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2006 |
HER
1 - 0
FCA
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
DBA
0 - 1
FCA
40%
29%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2006 |
FCA
2 - 0
CHI
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2006 |
BAN
1 - 2
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
HER
4 - 0
HAN
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
WOL
0 - 0
HER
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2006 |
HER
1 - 0
FCA
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
HSV
1 - 0
HER
53%
25%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
FKM
0 - 2
HER
33%
27%
39%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |