FC Alverca II vs União de Coimbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
52.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
10º
7º
16
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 59 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 45 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 44 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 43 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 42 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 35 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 34 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 33 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 32 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 23 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 18 |
14º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
PEN
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 2
FCA
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CAL
4 - 1
FCA
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
LUS
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
União de Coimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COI
2 - 2
BMA
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COI
3 - 2
SER
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
COI
1 - 1
POM
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
COI
25%
27%
49%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
COI
17%
25%
58%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |