FC Altdorf vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Altdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
IBA
1 - 2
FCA
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 3
TAV
35%
22%
43%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
FCA
41%
22%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 1
FCS
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
LUZ
1 - 4
FCA
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 2
SAR
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 2
LUG
30%
21%
49%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
HER
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
LUG
26%
22%
53%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 2
LUG
36%
25%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |