Alsterbruder vs Union Tornesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
33.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
14º
14º
24
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alsterbruder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WAN
3 - 5
ATB
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ATB
3 - 4
BUC
46%
21%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 2
ATB
78%
13%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ATB
5 - 1
DNB
57%
19%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
6 - 2
ATB
82%
11%
8%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 0
SAS
9%
14%
77%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
2 - 3
RUG
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WAN
5 - 3
UTO
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 0
BUC
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 1
UTO
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |