Alsterbruder vs HEBC Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
60%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
14º
14º
59
2º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alsterbruder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
VHG
4 - 1
ATB
78%
12%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ATB
1 - 3
ALT
19%
23%
58%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ETH
2 - 1
ATB
58%
20%
23%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ATB
2 - 5
NIE
18%
19%
64%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ATB
0 - 0
THA
24%
20%
57%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
HEBC Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HEB
3 - 2
SAS
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UTO
2 - 3
HEB
18%
19%
63%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
HEB
3 - 1
WAN
66%
17%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 3
HEB
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DNB
3 - 2
HEB
14%
17%
69%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | -1 |