Alsterbruder vs TSV Buchholz 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
14º
14º
46
5º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alsterbruder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 2
ATB
78%
13%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ATB
5 - 1
DNB
57%
19%
25%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
6 - 2
ATB
82%
11%
8%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ATB
3 - 1
HAL
18%
18%
64%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HEB
3 - 1
ATB
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Buchholz 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 2
SAS
13%
17%
70%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 0
BUC
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 1
WAN
46%
21%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BUC
4 - 2
RUG
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
BUC
8 - 1
DNB
64%
17%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |