Alle vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
36.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ALL
0 - 3
ALL
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
TAV
1 - 3
ALL
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ALL
2 - 0
SEN
24%
24%
52%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +4 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
ALL
2 - 2
NEX
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ALL
1 - 1
ALL
43%
24%
34%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
MOU
0 - 0
NEX
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
MOU
2 - 1
FCC
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
LAN
4 - 0
MOU
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SEN
1 - 1
MOU
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
MOU
4 - 0
FCO
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |