Alle vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
47.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FCO
0 - 4
ALL
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ALL
1 - 0
FCB
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
ALL
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ALL
7 - 0
FCS
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ALL
0 - 2
TAV
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 0
NEX
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
LIE
1 - 0
MOU
50%
22%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ALL
2 - 2
MOU
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MOU
2 - 2
BLA
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
FCC
1 - 3
MOU
18%
20%
62%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |