Alberes Argelès vs Saint Paul Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
10º
19
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberes Argelès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FCP
5 - 2
FCA
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 2
ONE
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LES
1 - 2
FCA
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 1
BAY
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CRF
1 - 2
FCA
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Saint Paul Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ONE
1 - 1
SPS
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SPS
1 - 1
BAY
15%
21%
64%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SPS
1 - 2
LEG
16%
20%
64%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CRF
1 - 3
SPS
76%
16%
8%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | +3 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPS
1 - 1
SEP
21%
20%
59%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |