Alberes Argelès vs Canet Roussillon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
10º
10º
24
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 53 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 44 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 39 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 37 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 37 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 34 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 27 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 26 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 20 |
14º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
61.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
28.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberes Argelès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 0
FCA
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 2
STA
34%
22%
45%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
TOU
4 - 0
FCA
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
CAS
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 1
FCA
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Canet Roussillon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
CRF
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CRF
1 - 0
FCP
41%
27%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CRF
1 - 3
VER
10%
20%
71%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
CRF
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CRF
1 - 0
BLA
40%
29%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |