Alberes Argelès vs Bayonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
10º
30
4º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberes Argelès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CRF
1 - 2
FCA
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GDB
1 - 1
FCA
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
SEP
75%
15%
11%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
FCA
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
CAS
27%
22%
50%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SEP
1 - 4
BAY
22%
22%
55%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BAY
4 - 3
FCP
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LES
1 - 0
BAY
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
BAY
47%
26%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAY
0 - 0
LEG
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |