FC Ajka vs Kisvárda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
57.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
16º
12º
26
1º
16º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
26 | 56 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 55 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 51 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
1º
|
31 | 50 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 43 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 43 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 43 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 42 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 39 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 34 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 34 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
16% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Ajka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BUD
1 - 2
FCA
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
SZE
31%
30%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BEK
3 - 0
FCA
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 1
SZE
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 1
TAT
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kisvárda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
3 - 2
KOZ
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TAT
0 - 1
VAR
15%
23%
62%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 2
BUD
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VAS
3 - 1
VAR
46%
25%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GYO
2 - 2
VAR
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |