Magyar Kupa Last 16
Global 3-4
FC Ajka vs Debreceni VSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
72.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Ajka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 1
MTK
12%
16%
72%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SZA
3 - 4
FCA
8%
16%
76%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
FCA
5 - 0
DUN
89%
8%
3%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
III
0 - 2
FCA
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FCA
4 - 0
MES
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Debreceni VSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
DVS
2 - 1
FTC
25%
25%
51%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
VAR
3 - 0
DVS
24%
26%
51%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
DVS
0 - 0
UJP
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
DVS
1 - 2
BUD
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
DVS
4 - 1
ZEM
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |