FC Ajka vs Békéscsaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
16º
11º
16
3º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
25 | 56 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 56 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 51 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 50 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 41 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 41 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 40 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 37 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 37 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 34 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 32 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 27 |
16º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 65% |
|
Relegation
|
11% | 35% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Ajka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
FCA
0 - 0
NAG
58%
21%
21%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 2
VES
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 0
GYI
34%
24%
42%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 2
KOM
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 1
BUD
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Békéscsaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VAS
3 - 1
BEK
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BEK
2 - 1
HOD
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DEA
0 - 0
BEK
15%
20%
65%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
BEK
3 - 3
TIS
50%
22%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
BEK
1 - 1
UTA
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |