Aegeri vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ESC
1 - 1
FCA
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
RUS
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LSS
0 - 0
FCA
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 3
ZUG
19%
21%
60%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
EMM
2 - 2
FCA
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAR
5 - 1
RUS
68%
18%
15%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ZUG
4 - 0
SAR
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAR
3 - 3
GOL
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FCS
4 - 2
SAR
41%
24%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 1
IBA
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |