Aegeri vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TAV
0 - 0
FCA
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FCA
3 - 2
LSS
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
GOL
4 - 1
FCA
57%
22%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 4
ESC
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 3
FCA
13%
19%
68%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
IBA
3 - 1
GOL
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
IBA
3 - 1
ESC
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 0
IBA
12%
19%
69%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
IBA
0 - 4
FCM
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AAR
2 - 2
IBA
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |