Aegeri vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
48.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
ESC
5 - 1
FCA
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
FCA
6 - 0
BAL
79%
13%
7%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
FCM
3 - 2
FCA
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 6
AAR
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 0
FCA
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
LSS
1 - 0
GOL
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
GOL
4 - 0
ESC
56%
22%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 2
GOL
14%
19%
67%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
GOL
0 - 4
FCM
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
AAR
2 - 3
GOL
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |