Aegeri vs Baar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
EMM
3 - 0
FCA
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 6
FCS
23%
23%
55%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
HER
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
SAR
22%
21%
56%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
IBA
4 - 3
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Baar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 3
FCS
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FCB
5 - 2
HER
21%
21%
59%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 0
FCB
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 3
RUS
33%
23%
43%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 0
FCB
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |