Aegeri vs Buochs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
64.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 0
FCA
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 2
FCB
46%
23%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
EMM
3 - 0
FCA
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 6
FCS
23%
23%
55%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
HER
22%
21%
57%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
RUS
3 - 2
BUO
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BUO
1 - 2
SAR
69%
18%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BUO
4 - 1
ASC
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 3
BUO
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BUO
4 - 2
LUZ
81%
12%
6%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |