Aegeri vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 0
FCA
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 2
LUZ
55%
22%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
FCA
49%
23%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCS
41%
24%
36%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
EMM
2 - 3
FCA
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
AAR
2 - 3
GOL
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 0
AAR
25%
23%
52%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AAR
5 - 1
BAL
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FCM
3 - 2
AAR
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LSS
4 - 2
AAR
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |