Aegeri vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
65.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
IBA
1 - 1
FCA
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BUO
5 - 1
FCA
78%
15%
7%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
FCA
3 - 1
FCS
14%
21%
65%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +4 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCA
79%
14%
8%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 1
LSS
16%
20%
63%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
AAR
3 - 0
BUO
51%
23%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FCS
0 - 3
AAR
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
AAR
1 - 0
SCH
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
LSS
1 - 0
AAR
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AAR
2 - 0
OLT
64%
20%
17%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |