Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
48.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FCL
3 - 2
FCA
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GCZ
1 - 2
FCA
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 1
STG
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 1
THU
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCA
54%
24%
23%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ZUR
3 - 1
THU
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
STG
0 - 2
ZUR
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ZUR
1 - 0
SIO
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ZUR
1 - 1
GCZ
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ZUR
4 - 0
LAU
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |