Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
NEX
0 - 1
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
FCA
3 - 1
YOB
41%
25%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
75%
16%
10%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 1
SER
34%
25%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
STG
0 - 0
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ZUR
3 - 1
WIL
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
GCZ
1 - 0
ZUR
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
NEX
2 - 1
ZUR
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
ZUR
2 - 2
STG
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
YOB
2 - 1
ZUR
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |