Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 1
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ZUR
4 - 2
FCA
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 2
STG
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 1
NEX
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
YOB
5 - 3
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
MEY
0 - 3
ZUR
12%
19%
70%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
THU
2 - 0
ZUR
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ZUR
4 - 2
FCA
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
FCH
2 - 4
ZUR
7%
16%
78%
|
74 | 15 | 59 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 1
ZUR
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |