Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
FCL
0 - 0
FCA
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
STG
3 - 0
FCA
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2000 |
FCA
0 - 2
LUG
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
SER
2 - 1
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
ZUR
0 - 0
STG
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
ZUR
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2000 |
ZUR
2 - 2
SER
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
YVE
1 - 1
ZUR
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |