Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1992 |
FCA
1 - 1
SIO
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1992 |
STG
1 - 4
FCA
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1992 |
BUL
1 - 3
FCA
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1992 |
GCZ
2 - 3
FCA
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1992 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
35%
27%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1992 |
ZUR
0 - 0
GCZ
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1992 |
BUL
2 - 1
ZUR
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1992 |
ZUR
0 - 2
CHI
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -3 |
| 25 Jul. 1992 |
STG
1 - 1
ZUR
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 1992 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SIO
32%
30%
38%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |