Aarau vs Zug 94 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
YOB
2 - 2
FCA
58%
22%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
FCA
1 - 1
GCZ
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1984 |
FCA
3 - 1
FCL
65%
19%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1984 |
FCA
4 - 1
ZUR
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1984 |
FCW
1 - 2
FCA
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Zug 94
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
ZUG
2 - 1
LAU
27%
29%
44%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
BAS
3 - 0
ZUG
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1984 |
ZUG
2 - 3
FCW
30%
30%
40%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |