Aarau vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCA
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
FCA
0 - 2
BEL
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
YVE
3 - 3
FCA
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
FCA
1 - 3
GCZ
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
BAS
5 - 2
FCA
67%
19%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
YVE
1 - 2
WIN
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
NEX
1 - 1
YVE
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
YVE
3 - 3
FCA
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
STG
7 - 0
YVE
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
YVE
1 - 1
LUG
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |