Aarau vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1985 |
STG
2 - 2
FCA
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1985 |
FCA
2 - 1
VEV
72%
17%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1985 |
FCW
1 - 3
FCA
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1985 |
FCA
0 - 3
NEX
41%
23%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1985 |
SIO
2 - 2
FCA
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1985 |
WIN
0 - 2
SER
14%
24%
61%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1985 |
GCZ
3 - 1
WIN
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1985 |
VEV
1 - 0
WIN
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1985 |
WIN
3 - 1
ZUG
80%
13%
8%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1985 |
STG
5 - 1
WIN
79%
14%
8%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |