Aarau vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1983 |
ZUR
2 - 2
FCA
80%
12%
8%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1983 |
FCA
2 - 0
LAU
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
FCA
2 - 0
YOB
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
SER
1 - 0
FCA
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1983 |
SIO
3 - 0
WIN
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1983 |
WIN
2 - 2
NEX
17%
25%
59%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
FCW
3 - 2
WIN
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
WIN
1 - 1
BAS
29%
26%
46%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
ZUR
4 - 1
WIN
89%
8%
4%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |