Aarau vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2018 |
RAP
2 - 3
FCA
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
WOH
1 - 3
FCA
19%
22%
58%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FCA
1 - 2
SER
45%
25%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 2
FCA
29%
25%
45%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 2
NEX
23%
24%
54%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2018 |
FCV
2 - 2
WIL
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 0
RAP
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 1
SCH
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 3
WIL
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |